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Fernández, A., Haffner, M., & Elsinga, M. (2024). Subsidies or green taxes? Evaluating the distributional effects of housing renovation policies among Dutch households. Journal of Housing and the Built Environment, 2024, 1-28.

https://doi.org/10.1007/s10901-024-10118-5

Posted on 28-03-2024

In recent years, the Dutch government has implemented subsidies and low-interest loans to promote energy-efficient housing renovation. While researchers have examined the financial viability of renovation based on building conditions and occupants’ socio-economic characteristics, the distributional impacts of renovation incentives and the potential of fiscal policy for the redistribution of housing costs remain understudied. Dutch fiscal policy, favouring homeownership, provides a suitable context to evaluate how green property taxation can enhance renovation rates and decrease inequalities. This paper investigates the financial and distributional effects of housing renovation policies under different fiscal scenarios. We employ a model considering marginal costs and benefits of energy-efficient renovation, using property premiums from hedonic regression and a government dataset for costs. Additionally, we assess the distributional impacts of different policy scenarios by examining changes in user costs across income deciles. Our findings indicate that existing renovation subsidies exacerbate the regressive distributional impacts resulting from current housing taxation. However, incorporating energy-efficiency-linked property taxation shows higher redistributive potential. The introduction of a "green" dimension to fiscal policy aligns home ownership taxation closer to the tax-neutral benchmark. Ultimately, this research emphasizes the importance of balancing environmental and distributional objectives within housing renovation policies.

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Green Land Value Tax

Viability

Area: Design, planning and building

As a response to the regressiveness of housing taxation and the subsidisation model of housing renovation, (Muellbauer, 2018) has introduced the idea of a Green Land Value Tax (GLVT). The GLVT is composed of two elements, one based on built-up surface and another on unoccupied land. Energy-efficient buildings would pay the same tax as unoccupied land while energy-inefficient ones would pay a proportional increase by energy use. Such tax would create incentives to retrofit and improve the financial viability of increasing densities as the tax burden on built-up surface could be shared by different households in multiple occupation buildings but concentrated on one owner in the case of single-family dwellings. In this regard, the study of policies such as mortgage interest deduction has pointed out how the lack of adequate taxation leads to the overconsumption of owner-occupied housing and increases in house prices (Fatica & Prammer, 2018; Poterba, 1984).   On the one hand, targeting grants at households could incentivise retrofit among low-income homeowners for whom the impact of increased costs could pose affordability problems. On the other hand, increased taxation of energy-inefficient homes could help redistribute housing wealth toward younger homeowners in the most energy-efficient proportions of the stock and incentivise retrofit through increasing housing costs for house- wealthy households. However, the political feasibility of these drastic policy changes remains questionable. Although there is no land value taxation in the Netherlands, the Dutch case remains particularly apposite to test green taxation proposals through imputed rent as done in Fernandez et. al (2024). The Netherlands lacks tax neutrality across tenures and imposes regressive taxes on energy consumption. These renovation incentivising policies result from a consumption interpretation of housing renovation as a one-off expense, not as an investment resulting in the appreciation of a financial asset (Copiello & Donati, 2021). Albeit under-taxing it according to the literature presented before, Dutch fiscal policy treats owner-occupied housing as an asset (Haffner, 2003). Aligning incentives for renovation with the asset interpretation of housing present in fiscal policy opens up paths for a set of green tax tools (Fernandez et. al, 2024). This concept is an excerpt from the article Fernández, A., Haffner, M. & Elsinga, M. Subsidies or green taxes? Evaluating the distributional effects of housing renovation policies among Dutch households. J Hous and the Built Environ (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10901-024-10118-5

Created on 14-10-2024

Author: A.Fernandez (ESR12)

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Area: Design, planning and building

Traditionally the viability of renovation has been assessed through a Discounted Cash-Flow (DCF) analysis of saved energy, which is highly contingent on the discount rate (Copiello & Donati, 2021). However, these authors propose an alternative method that capitalises energy savings into housing value, thereby circumventing the limitations of discounted predicted energy savings, which are already reflected in the property value. They employ an asset-based approach to analyse renovation viability by evaluating costs and benefits in terms of value increases.The value increase of energy-efficient improvements in real estate markets usually takes the form of a green premium identified through different econometric techniques, see for example  Aydin et al. (2020)  for a recent study of property premiums in the Netherlands. To increase the financial viability of renovation, the EU proposes three approaches that have been incorporated differently by Member States (Bertoldi, 2022). First, on the one hand, grants and loans rely on the reduction or complete elimination of upfront costs –“carrot” approach– to encourage renovations (see Eryzhenskiy et al., 2022, for example). Second, the “stick” side of housing renovation incentives draws on mandatory Minimum Energy Performance Standards (MEPSs), which preclude the renting or selling of properties that fall below a certain Energy performance Certificate (EPC) level (Economidou et al., 2020). Third, the European Commission also plans to expand the Emissions Trading Systems (ETS) to encompass buildings before the end of the decade (2003/87/EC). This will likely impact energy costs and increase the viability of energy-efficient renovations (Backe et al., 2023). Fernández, A., Haffner, M. & Elsinga, M. Subsidies or green taxes? Evaluating the distributional effects of housing renovation policies among Dutch households. J Hous and the Built Environ (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10901-024-10118-5

Created on 14-10-2024

Author: A.Fernandez (ESR12)

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